Read Don's latest post here.
I thought in my last post we were making some progress in this discussion, but it seems we've backslid to talking points and exaggerations. So now I'm feeling much less optimistic that we'll be able to achieve even the most basic level of mutual understanding as a result of this exchange.
Don said: "I don't know how a reasonable person can look at the proposed legislation and describe it as "modest" or "proscribed and constrained". If a program spending $1.6 trillion over ten years can now be described as modest, the word has surely been redefined when I was not paying attention."
National health care has been debated for almost a hundred years in this country. This proposal is incremental (it builds upon the existing system) and less far reaching than ideas that have been proposed, even by Republicans, in past decades -- in that sense, it is modest. Every developed nation in the world offers universal health care except the US. Our country will spend far more than $1.6 trillion over the next ten years on health care. These reforms aim to constrain those other expenditures, leading to net savings. It's meaningless to quote the expenditures without the savings. It's like saying "this will cost $1m" without noting that it will save $2m. The President has said this program will not add one dollar to the deficit. But I know you don't believe anything the President says.
This go-to-jail thing is another ridiculous misrepresentation. This is based on the handwritten note given to Ensign? Have you read the note?
http://www.politico.com/static/PPM110_090925_document2.html
It's talking about willful tax fraud penalties. There's nothing in the current code that connects that to health insurance, and there's no way the reform will work like this. In fact, there are exemptions in the proposed reform for people who can't afford to buy in. Please, Don, can we talk about substance as opposed to these canards? You really think the government is going to start throwing people in jail for not getting health care?
You say this reform is on par with Marxism. Hard core Marxism advocates violent revolution to reclaim politico-economic power for workers from the bourgeoisie. It is a completely discredited ideology that has no major advocates left in the Western world. This reform proposes changes in regulations so that everyone in the US can get access to health insurance. If you truly see those things as equivalent then I don't know how we can discuss this rationally.
You say, "This bill is an authoritarian power grab bigger than any in American history." Really? More than the declaration of martial law by Lincoln during the Civil War? More than the poll tax during Reconstruction? More than the forced relocation of Native Americans? Please.
By saying "If we strengthen the rules so that insurance companies cannot drop coverage unfairly or deny coverage for non-material reasons, anyone can avoid the situation of being without coverage due to a preexisting condition by purchasing insurance when they are young and healthy and keeping it..." aren't you de facto agreeing that regulation is necessary? But wouldn't that regulation (forcing people to get insurance when young and keep it) defeat the principle of flexibility and portability that you just agreed is important? That opens the door to more abuse, because it locks people into bad plans where the abuses can continue.
You oppose the public option, equating it with co-ops (even though they're entirely different) and suggesting anything along those lines will be "anti-competitive." You claim a public option (already available in several states, by the way) will be almost a threat to the republic, but you have no conceivable scenario to back up the assertion... you say government cannot run things effectively, and then you argue that every person in the world will sign up for the public plans and they'll put insurers out of business. But the CBO estimates no more than 11 or 12 million people will sign up. How could this possibly lead to an "authoritarian power grab bigger than any in American history?" Why haven't the state options led to the negative consquences you assert?
It sounds like you reject pretty much any mandate -- you "flatly reject a public option, mandates on individuals to buy medical insurance, mandates on employers to provide it, mandates on insurance companies to cover preexisting conditions..." -- so I admit I was far too optimistic in asserting that we were in agreement on the majority of topics under discussion. You just want to tweak the rules a little bit and let the supposed magic of the market solve everything. But I hear no concrete proposal -- nor have I heard any concrete alternative proposals from anyone on the right, only criticisms and dire warnings about where this is all heading. You admit the status quo is worse, but you offer only spotty suggestions of what you will and won't support. Paint me a picture of your preferred solution, and how it addresses all the problems we agree upon. Because I don't see it.
By the way, I reject the Fannie Mae analogy... first, it's completely different than health care -- there's no speculation on health care insurance premiums, and there's no bubble; second, Fannie Mae provided mortgages for decades without incident prior to the mortgage crisis, and put millions of people into homes that they paid for with no problems; and third, Fannie Mae is a single private institution with its own shareholders and a focus on profits. Fannie Mae isn't anywhere close to equivalent to a public health insurance option... it's closer to a for-profit insurer. You think the auto insurance analogy was flawed? This analogy is way more off base.
There's nothing in the reform proposal that would disincent people in local communities to take care of each other. This Federal vs. local argument is a false dichotomy. All health care provision is by definition local... it all must be provided by individuals in immediate proximity to the individual in need. It doesn't make sense to say everyone should be helped by local resources, and only if those fail, should they move on to federal resources. Everything works in concert. The Feds aren't going to fly in to take your temperature. The reform is to create a system to cover the costs and prevent systemic abuse, that's it. All the care will still be delivered on a local level. You'll go to your same local hospital, with the same local doctors and nurses, they'll just get their reimbursements from a different payor. Why is that so threatening?
"Washington has spent years convincing people that the Federal Government should be the primary safety net." Can you give me one example of a government communication that says that? The right says that incessantly, but I've never seen or heard a government agency say anything remotely along those lines. Also: "...politicians should stop their self-serving promotion of dependence on government as a natural and normal state for most of the people most of the time." Likewise, I'd like to see one example of a politician promoting dependence on government. It's just not true.
We can discuss advanceable, refundable tax credits, the Baucus proposal, and minimum income levels for subsidy (though I couldn't find anything with that $85k number you cite -- I think in the Baucus bill that has to do with prescription discounts) -- personally, I think that's minutiae compared to the real issue at hand. We can get wrapped around the axle debating these little points (which will inevitably change a dozen times before legislation becomes a reality) and miss the forest for the trees.
Fundamentally, from my perspective, we have people who can't get or afford insurance under the current system -- tens of millions of them. They get sick and they're forced to pay medical costs out of pocket until they go bankrupt, or they go without medical care and suffer and/or die unnecessarily. My original facebook status suggested that shouldn't happen. You suggested this was like legislating away a natural disaster (e.g. futile or impossible to affect with legislative action) and asked for details... and over the past few weeks we've gone through those details in a very deliberate manner. Your counter-arguments make unfounded exaggerations about Marxism/tyranny/authoritarianism, rely on easily debunked talking points from talk radio, get caught up on intentional misrepresentations or one-off quotes that are supposed proof of larger secret agendas, cite out of context quotes from historical figures like Madison and C.S. Lewis, and assert that if only we had a free market this would all go away -- when in fact it's the unregulated actions of the for-profit actors that are causing most of these problems in the first place.
At core I still suspect the reason why you minimize the struggles of millions of your fellow citizens in favor of your pronouncements about liberty and Marxism and tyranny is because you don't really have empathy for the actual suffering that's going on out there. You'd rather score the political point and see the party you disagree with dealt a defeat than address the problem. And you think these medical doomsday scenarios aren't going to happen to you, only to illegal immigrants and welfare cheats and other irresponsible types, so let them suffer the results of their irresponsibility. Not once during this discussion have I heard you acknowledge the need of any of the families being victimized by very real flaws in the current system, or express a genuine desire to help them. That's why I said you were cold hearted. You can hide that behind ideological points on market efficiency and liberty and Marxism all you like, but over the course of this exchange I think my initial assessment has been proven quite accurate.







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You seem unable to grasp simple logic. For instance I say that if health care reform is modest, Marxism must be ostentatious. Last I checked, ostentatious is an antonym of modest. So how can you conclude that I am saying that they are equivalent?
And I say that people should buy insurance before they have a preexisting condition, but you suggest that this statement supports a mandate to buy insurance. You have no concept of individual responsibility -- that people should do something because they choose to, not because Washington forces them to do it, and that they should live with the consequences of their decisions.
You seem ignorant about the Baucus bill, which has been all over the news for two weeks. It mandates insurance, fines people who don't buy it, and taxes expensive policies and employers who don't provide coverage, along with the standard set of mandates on insurance companies.
I don't minimize anyone's struggles. Point me to what I said minimizes millions of people's struggles.
I have proposed a full list of changes. Did you miss it?
Yes, Don, your comment makes me realize now the problem is that I don't understand simple logic, that I have no concept of personal responsibility, and that I'm ignorant about the issues surrounding health care reform.
I'm disappointed that this discussion has gone here, but maybe this was the only place it could go.
rah
I'm not sure what you expected. I've made a far better case, so I have more cause to call you closed-minded for not being convinced. If our goal was to be so open-minded that our brains leak out our noses, we could each adopt the other's opinion. But I'd insist that you go first. So you just keep on accusing me of exaggerating and spouting talking points, while you continue repeating the 46 million number and lines like "Every industrialized country in the world but America has universal coverage."
I am sure that the thousands of people already in jail for tax evasion will be relieved to hear that we're not jailing people for that anymore. But you are right that people who break the tax laws don't always end up in jail: some find their way to powerful positions in Obama's cabinet. Some even run the IRS!
My goal was to have an in-depth discussion, and I guess we did that. I never thought we'd convince each other to reverse our prior perspectives -- that's definitely a bridge too far. Though I will say you persuaded me on the limits of what can be achieved with this reform. We scoped out the realm of the possible, in other words.
I was hoping for a thorough discussion of the values below the positions, but I don't think we ever got past the positions. Oh, well... c'est la vie.
I have no regrets, I think this was a very worthy exercise, and I know it took a lot of time... I appreciate you sticking with it.
rah
I agree that it was very worthwhile. It forced me to test my assumptions and arguments and discard a few along the way, and to take the time to understand the other side better. I found that some aspects of the Democrat plan which I had assumed were motivated by sinister intentions were not. Misguided perhaps, but not malicious. While politicians of all stripes are motivated by personal power, the average people who support them tend to have a genuine desire for the good of the country.
There are deep divisions in how we think that good can be achieved, but there is also some common ground. I wonder why we can't move forward on what most people can agree with and hold off on the divisive parts. George Bush or Bill Clinton could have addressed some of the obvious problems years ago, but when you bite off too much at once, often you end up with nothing. While doing nothing may be better than an irreversible mistake, smaller, carefully considered adjustments may be better than huge, all-or-nothing revamping efforts, particularly ones rammed through in a hurry. I think we will all agree that what we are likely to end up with today is better than we would have gotten if Congress had rushed something through before the August recess, as Obama suggested. The vigorous debate adds value and clarity and eliminates the worst ideas. If the Baucus bill passes without a public option, I still won't like it, but it will be enough less bad to make the fight worthwhile.
The values below the positions is a whole different discussion, one I would be interested to explore. I understand the principles of conservatism, and I am familiar with those of the left, although they don't make a lot of sense to me. The middle is a complete mystery to me, as it seems much more ad hoc and less principled, borrowing freely from several contradictory schools of thought.
I don't have any regrets either. Thank you for being a worthy opponent. You are a credit to the Greenhill debate coach.
"Although America leads the world in spending on health care, it is the only wealthy, industrialized nation that does not ensure that all citizens have coverage."
- The National Academy of Sciences, http://www.iom.edu/?id=17848
"Universal health care is implemented in all industrialized countries, with the exception of the United States." - Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_health_care
On the 46 million: rated mostly true by non-partisan PolitiFact -- the number of non-citizens in the US Census number is balanced out by the age of the stat (2007) and the number of people who lost insurance during the recession: http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2009/aug/18/barack-ob...
rah
Just to clarify, I know that the "every industrialized country but America has universal coverage" is true. I was citing it as a talking point that you repeat. I responded to it in one of my first points, not by disputing it, but by questioning whether we really want to be like every other country.
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I was citing it as a talking point that you repeat. I responded to it in one of my first points, not by disputing it, but by questioning whether we really want to be like every other country. web site design india
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Collin,
Healthcare is a very touchy subject, and that fact is very disheartening. I will argue from both sides because I like to believe that I am not one to side with either the Democrats or Republicans.
Some argue that healthcare is provided to all citizens in other countries, and that those systems work very well, so why not have a system in place in the U.S.? Others will argue against this fact by saying that America thrives and succeeds with private businesses, and that healthcare is just another business. Also, if the government does not provide the essentials to life (food, water, and shelter) to all citizens, what makes healthcare so special that it should just be given to every American?
Money is probably the biggest issue when it comes to healthcare. Democrats say that it is an expense that is worth accumulating, but Republicans say that it will just add to our national debt. I don't want to sound like a left wing liberal, but when has our national debt been such a huge concern in the past? Under Republican leadership over the last 8 years this country has went to war and accumulated a gigantic debt. Only now the Republicans bring up the deficit and use that as an argument.
The biggest problem I have with the dueling parties in this country is the lack of common sense. Some of the stands that both parties take regarding the issues are good, but then most of them are completely illogical. After all of that, then we as Americans have to vote for one side or the other, and it usually leaves half the country annoyed and angry. Also, many times when it comes time for congress to vote on these issues our congressmen are blindly voting with their party, and this does not help anyone.
We had our disputes during the election, but now is time to come together and work together to come up with a plan that will help the citizens of our country. It is my understanding that the proposed healthcare plan is not forcing healthcare on every American, but rather trying to make it accessible for all Americans. Is that not a logical solution? I think it is. Regardless of where you stand when it comes to political issues, why not try to help rather than impede. Playing the devil's advocate is not a bad thing either, it is a helping process, but it should not hinder a goal.
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